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This means that there are few old groups in the region, contrary to the expectations of the Gondwanan refuge hypothesis.
Taking the dataset as a whole, the probabilities of the NC crown group and the inclusive Pacific group being older than 37 Ma are highly correlated (rs = 0.931022, p Estimated crown age of the New Caledonian and Pacific island clades from the 40 selected studies.
For the six groups estimated to be older than 37 Ma, the probability values were positive but still very low (i.e.
lower than 2.00), indicating a very small departure from the 37 ± 3 Ma range.
This shows that being younger than the emergence of NC is a feature that is common to the great majority of NC groups (Fig. Estimated crown age of New Caledonian clades from 40 selected studies (purple: arthropods, green: plants, red: vertebrates, grey: molluscs).