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I’ve long thought that draft trends function better as fun discussion starters than meaningful predictive tools, so don’t take my attempt at using simple math to make this research feel more scientific as anything but a nice little way to kick off the 2018 draft season conversation.

In the nine drafts covered on this site to date, there have been 295 total first round picks.

HS catchers – 0 HS first basemen – 0 HS second basemen – 0 HS third basemen – 1 HS shortstops – 2 HS outfielders – 5 HS pitchers – 7 College catchers – 1 College first basemen – 0 College second basemen – 0 College third basemen – 1 College shortstops – 1 College outfielders – 2 College pitchers – 9 and 10 More often than not, we’re getting first rounds with no HS catchers, HS first basemen, HS second basemen, college first basemen, and college second basemen. Let’s look at the ranges next and hope for something a bit more meaningful…

HS catchers – 2 (0 to 2) HS first basemen – 1 (0 to 1) HS second basemen – 1 (0 to 1) HS third basemen – 1 (0 to 1) HS shortstops – 2 (2 to 4) HS outfielders – 4 (2 to 6) HS pitchers – 5 (5 to 10) College catchers – 3 (0 to 3) College first basemen – 3 (0 to 3) College second basemen – 2 (0 to 2) College third basemen – 4 (0 to 4) College shortstops – 5 (0 to 5) College outfielders – 3 (2 to 5) College pitchers – 4 (7 to 11) I like this.

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